Formation chances increase for Invest 91-L in Gulf; NHC says it could become a tropical depression

Formation chances increase for Invest 91-L in Gulf; NHC says it could become a tropical depression
EVERYTHING IS RUINED. SOME OF US DON’T GOT FOOD. WELL, ALL OF US DON’T GOT FOOD. NONE OF US GOT CLOTHING. CENTRAL FLORIDA KNOWS THE DEVASTATION HURRICANES BRING. OH MY GOD. FIREFIGHTERS MADE A BREAK IN THIS PART OF THE CINDERBLOCK WALL AS WELL. AND TAKE A LOOK PAST ME. THERE YOU CAN SEE HOW DEEP THE WATER IS. AFTER IAN AND NICOLE IN 2022. IDALIA IN 2023 AND HELENE AND MILTON IN 2024. FLORIDA AVOIDED A DIRECT HIT LAST YEAR, BUT THAT’S NO EXCUSE TO LET YOUR GUARD DOWN. I THINK THAT WE CAN DO TO HELP OUR RESIDENTS, OUR BUSINESSES, BECOME MORE RESILIENT AND MORE PREPARED. I DIDN’T WANT TO DROWN AND I DIDN’T. THIS IS NEW TO ME AND I DIDN’T KNOW WHAT TO DO. OUR FIRST WARNING WEATHER TEAM IS GETTING YOU READY FOR THE SEASON. WE STUDIED ABOUT FIVE DIFFERENT SEASONS THAT SEEMINGLY HAVE THE SAME SETUP AS THIS YEAR. WE’RE CONNECTING YOU WITH KEY RESOURCES SO YOU KNOW WHO TO TURN TO AFTER STORM IF YOU NEED HELP, AND WHAT LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES ARE DOING TO PREPARE. THIS IS SURVIVING THE SEASON 2026. THE WESH TWO HURRICANE SPECIAL WITH STEWART MOORE AND MICHELLE IMPERATO HURRICANES HAVE BATTERED CENTRAL FLORIDA FOR THE LAST DECADE. MATTHEW, IRMA, IAN, NICOLE, MILTON. AND IF YOU WERE HERE, YOU REMEMBER THE CATASTROPHIC INLAND FLOODING, THE DESTRUCTION OF OUR COASTLINE. IF YOU WEREN’T, WELL, THAT’S WHY GETTING AND STAYING PREPARED FOR HURRICANE SEASON IS CRITICAL. WESH TWO NEWS IS HELPING YOU SURVIVE THE SEASON. FROM THE BEGINNING OF JUNE, ALL THE WAY UNTIL THE END OF NOVEMBER. OUR FIRST WARNING WEATHER TEAM IS KEEPING TRACK OF ANY STORM HEADING OUR WAY. WE BEGIN WITH CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI AND THE HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK. HERE’S THE FORECAST NOW FOR THE 2026 HURRICANE SEASON. A NORMAL WOULD BE 14 NAMED STORMS, SEVEN HURRICANES AND THREE MAJOR HURRICANES. WITH THIS DEVELOPING EL NINO, WE THINK THOSE NUMBERS ARE GOING TO BE AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW THAT AVERAGE. 9 TO 13 NAMED STORMS, 4 TO 6 HURRICANES, AND ABOUT 1 TO 3 MAJOR HURRICANES. NOW, THE REASON WHY WE THINK THOSE NUMBERS ARE GOING TO BE LOWER IS BECAUSE OF A DEVELOPING EL NINO. NOW, A LOT OF PEOPLE ASK US ABOUT THOSE NUMBERS. HOW DOES THE APRIL FORECAST COMPARE TO, LET’S SAY, LATER FORECAST LIKE AUGUST? WELL, THERE IS CERTAINLY LESS ACCURACY, AS YOU CAN SEE HERE VERSUS THE FORECAST VERSUS THE FINAL NUMBERS IN APRIL. HOWEVER, LET ME TAKE YOU TO AUGUST. CHECK THIS OUT. LOOK AT HOW GOOD THE FINAL NUMBERS STACK UP FROM THE FORECAST IN AUGUST. YOU KNOW, EVERY ONCE IN A WHILE 2020 HAVE ONE BAD YEAR. BUT OVERALL THAT AUGUST FORECAST IS USUALLY VERY, VERY GOOD. NOW EL NINO, WHAT IS IT THAT MEANS THE WATERS ARE WARMER THERE IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC. IT MEANS THE UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE STRONGER ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC. AND IT ALSO MEANS A REDUCTION IN THE NUMBER OF OVERALL STORMS. BECAUSE OF THAT STRONG UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR. NOW YOU TAKE A LOOK AT THE YEARS WHERE THERE’S A STRONG EL NINO. LOOK AT THE NUMBER OF STORMS CONSIDERABLY LOWER FOR THE MOST PART THAN THE AVERAGE. SO THAT’S WHY WE’RE LEANING TOWARDS THE LOWER NUMBER. HEY, LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT THE LIST OF NAMES. ARTHUR BEGINS IT. MIDDLE OF THE LIST. LEAH, TOWARDS THE END IS WILFRED. ONE FINAL THOUGHT. WE THROW A LOT OF NUMBERS AT YOU, BUT REALLY, AT THE END OF THE DAY, WE DON’T WANT YOU TO FOCUS IN ON THE NUMBER OF STORMS BEING FORECASTED. WE WANT YOU TO FOCUS ON THE POSSIBILITY OF ONE STORM HEADED OUR WAY, AND WE’RE GOING TO DO THAT HERE YEAR ROUND FOR YOU RIGHT HERE WITH WESH ON AIR AND ONLINE. STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS ARE WARNING PEOPLE NOT TO WAIT UNTIL THE LAST MINUTE TO GET HURRICANE READY. FIRST WARNING METEOROLOGIST VICTORIA WISNIEWSKI SHOWS US HOW THEY ARE HELPING PEOPLE PREPARE BEFORE, DURING AND AFTER A STORM. IT ONLY TAKES ONE. WE DON’T CARE IF WE HAVE TEN STORMS, 30 STORMS. IT DOESN’T MATTER. WE WANT EVERY FLORIDIAN TO BE READY FOR THEIR ONE. FLORIDA IS NO STRANGER TO SOME OF THE WORST NATURE HAS TO OFFER, BEARING THE BRUNT OF NEARLY 40% OF ALL U.S. HURRICANES, <a href="https://healthylife7.com/more-than-600000-people-in-uk-unable-to-work-due-to-obesity-study-finds/" title="More than 600,000 people in UK unable to work due to obesity, study finds”>MORE THAN ANY STATE IN THE NATION. WE KNOW IT’S AN UNAVOIDABLE FACT OF LIFE IN OUR STATE. WE’RE ALSO ONE OF THE LARGEST GROWING POPULATIONS, INCREASING BY 7 MILLION RESIDENTS SINCE THE YEAR 2000. AND MANY OF OUR OLDER RESIDENTS HAVE SETTLED IN FLAGLER COUNTY. NOW, A PERMANENT STAND ALONE SHELTER IS AT THEIR FAIRGROUNDS. JONATHAN LORD IS THE COUNTY’S EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT DIRECTOR AND SAYS IT’S ONE OF THE WAYS THEY’RE LEADING THE WAY. I KNOW STATEWIDE, THEY’RE LOOKING TO TRY TO FIND OTHER OPPORTUNITIES LIKE THIS TO BUILD FACILITIES THAT CAN SERVE AS SHELTERS IN OTHER COMMUNITIES. SO WE’RE NOT SO RELIANT JUST ON PUBLIC SCHOOLS. THESE INVESTMENTS GIVE FLAGLER COUNTY THE TOOLS TO RECOVER, BUT IT CAN’T BE DONE ALONE. WE’RE ALL SUCH SMALL TEAMS TAKING CARE OF OUR COMMUNITIES. WE ALL ACTUALLY RELY AND COMMUNICATE WITH EACH OTHER ALL THE TIME. AS THE STATE OF FLORIDA CONTINUES TO INVEST IN WAYS TO KEEP YOU SAFE DURING HURRICANE SEASON, IT’S ACTUALLY ON THE GROUND RESPONSE THAT MATTERS MOST. AND IT STARTS IN THIS WAREHOUSE. THIS THE FLORIDA CENTRAL OPERATIONS COORDINATION OFFICE IS CENTRALLY LOCATED IN FLORIDA. WE HAVE ACCESS TO MANY OF THE MAIN THOROUGHFARES THROUGHOUT THE STATE OF FLORIDA. SO WE CAN DO QUICK DEPLOYMENTS. AND WE CAN DO WE CAN GET STUFF OUT OF THIS WAREHOUSE FACILITY QUICKLY AND WHERE THEY NEED TO BE IN A MOMENT’S NOTICE. HOW BIG IS THIS PLACE? THIS WAREHOUSE IS 423,000FT. IT IS HOUSING 3.5 MILLION GALLONS OF WATER AND 2 MILLION SHELF STABLE MEALS. AND LOCATION IS EVERYTHING. SITTING OFF I-4 IN AUBURNDALE, HALFWAY BETWEEN TAMPA AND ORLANDO, THIS FACILITY IS AN EXPANSION OF PREVIOUS RESPONSE CENTERS, NOW ALL UNDER ONE ROOF. WE’RE GOING TO BE THERE. WE’RE GOING TO BE READY TO RESPOND. WE’RE GOING TO BE RESPONDING THROUGH THE DISASTER, DURING THE DISASTER, JUST BECAUSE THE WINDS ARE HOWLING AND THE WAVES ARE CRASHING, DOESN’T MEAN THAT THIS FACILITY STOPS. THAT COMMITMENT ONLY GOES SO FAR WITHOUT YOU MEETING THEM HALFWAY. DO YOU KNOW YOUR EVACUATION ZONE? WHAT ABOUT HAVING A PLAN FOR EVERY PERSON IN YOUR HOUSEHOLD? OFFICIALS SAY YOUR KIT SHOULD SUSTAIN YOUR FAMILY FOR 5 TO 7 DAYS. WATER, FOOD, MEDICATION AND A WAY TO RECEIVE ALERTS WITHOUT POWER. AND STOCKING THAT KIT JUST GOT EASIER. FLORIDA HAS MADE EVERYTHING FROM TARPS AND GENERATORS TO BATTERIES AND SHELF STABLE FOOD TAX FREE YEAR ROUND. NO DEADLINE. WE’RE READY. YOU CAN SEE IT IN THIS WAREHOUSE. WE NEED YOU TO BE READY. THE INVESTMENTS AND PLANS ARE IN PLACE. AND WHILE CENTRAL FLORIDA IS DOING ITS PART, DOING YOURS MAY ULTIMATELY SAVE YOUR LIFE. METEOROLOGIST VICTORIA WISNIEWSKI, WESH TWO NEWS. WHEN DISASTER STRIKES, THERE ARE NONPROFIT GROUPS WILLING TO HELP THIS SENIOR COMMUNITY IN LAKE COUNTY FLOODED AFTER HURRICANE MILTON, FORCING PEOPLE OUT OF THEIR HOMES. LASER SHORT FOR LAKE SUPPORT, AND EMERGENCY RECOVERY STE. FIRST WARNING METEOROLOGIST CAM TRAN WAS THERE AS ONE WOMAN WALKED INTO HER BRAND NEW HOME. DO I LOOK AROUND? CAN’T BELIEVE IT. FOR THE FIRST TIME IN NEARLY TWO YEARS, SANDY ROBERTS WALKED INTO A BRAND NEW HOME IN LAKE COUNTY. I NEVER THOUGHT I’D HAVE ANYTHING. SO NICE. EMOTIONS TOOK OVER AS SANDY SAW HER NEW KITCHEN FLOORS AND BATHROOM. IT’S HARD TO TAKE IN. HURRICANE MAY HAVE DONE YOU WRONG, BUT CAME OUT ON THE OTHER END WITH A LOT OF HELP FROM. YEAH, I COULDN’T LIVE IN MY HOUSE IN OCTOBER 2024, HURRICANE MILTON DUMPED MORE THAN A FOOT OF RAIN IN LAKE COUNTY. WATER FROM A NEARBY LAKE REACHED THE FRONT STEPS OF SANDY’S EMERALD LAKE HOME. SHE EVACUATED AND STAYED WITH HER DAUGHTER, PATTI, UNTIL FLOODWATERS RECEDED. WHEN SHE RETURNED, HER AIR CONDITIONER WAS DAMAGED AND HER HOME WAS FILLED WITH MOLD, MAKING IT UNLIVABLE. HER FAMILY REACHED OUT TO THE NONPROFIT LAKE SUPPORT AND EMERGENCY RECOVERY, OR LASER, FOR HELP. ANY PHONE CALL THAT COMES INTO THE EOC THAT PERTAINS TO PRIVATE PROPERTY COMES DIRECTLY TO LASER, SO WE’RE ABLE TO WALK EACH OF THOSE INDIVIDUALS THROUGH WHAT THEY SHOULD BE DOING, OR IF WE MAY HAVE VOLUNTEER TEAMS IN THAT WE CAN PULL IN FROM ALL OVER THE NATION TO BE ABLE TO REMOVE DEBRIS FROM YOUR HOME. IMMEDIATELY PLACE TARPS ON YOUR HOME IMMEDIATELY. BRANDI MARTIN IS THE EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR OF LASER. THE GROUP HELPS LAKE COUNTY HOMEOWNERS REBUILD AFTER NATURAL DISASTERS. LASER ALSO ASSISTS WITH FUNDING, BUT SANDY’S HOME WAS BEYOND THE BUDGET. THE REPAIRS THAT WERE NEEDED IN THIS HOME FAR EXCEEDED WHAT I COULD BE ABLE TO PAY TO REPAIR THE HOME, WHICH IN TURN WAS WHY REBUILD FLORIDA WAS THE PERFECT RESOURCE FOR US TO POINT THEM TO AND TO WALK THEM THROUGH THE PROCESS WITH THE REBUILD, CONTRACTORS RAISE THE HOME 2.5FT HIGHER AND ADDED TIE DOWNS TO PROTECT IT FROM THE WINDS. SINCE IT WAS A MOBILE HOME BEFORE HURRICANE MILTON, SANDY’S AIR CONDITIONING UNIT WAS ON THE GROUND LIKE THIS. BUT THEN THE FLOOD WATERS CAME AND COVERED HALF THE UNIT AND WATER. BUT NOW WITH THE REBUILD, SANDY’S AC UNIT IS NOW 42IN OFF THE GROUND. THIS SHOULD KEEP IT SAFE FROM ANY FUTURE FLOODING. BUILDERS ALSO MADE THE HOME MORE HANDICAP ACCESSIBLE SINCE SANDY, WHO IS IN HER 80S, USES A WALKER. BRANDI AND LASER MADE SURE THAT WE KNEW TO ASK FOR THOSE THINGS AND AND DID ALL THE PAPERWORK WITH US AND THINGS WE WOULD HAVE NEVER KNOWN ABOUT OR GUESSED, OR EVEN HAD A CLUE. AND SHE JUST WALKED US THROUGH EVERYTHING. MOST IMPORTANTLY, WORKING WITH LASER GAVE THE FAMILY A PEACE OF MIND DURING A VULNERABLE TIME. SHE JUST FILLED OUT. SHE. SHE WAS THERE TO GUIDE US AND REASSURE US THAT WE WEREN’T BEING SCAMMED MORE THAN ANYTHING. AND THAT’S THAT’S SUPER IMPORTANT. ESPECIALLY WITH HER AGE. YOU KNOW, PEOPLE TAKE ADVANTAGE. I CAN’T WAIT TO GET IN HERE. CAM TRAN WESH TWO NEWS. AFTER REPEATED FLOODING WIPED OUT HOMES, SOMETIMES THE BEST SOLUTION IS TO LET THEM GO. IT’S GOOD FOR THE INSURANCE. IT’S GOOD FOR ALL OF US. HOW LOCAL GOVERNMENTS APPROACH BUYING OUT PROPERTIES AND TURNING THEM INTO FLOODPLAINS. PLUS, GETTING HURRICANE READY WITH HOME INSURANCE. WHAT A BROKER SAYS MANY HOMEOWNERS FAIL TO CHECK WHEN GOING THROUGH THEIR POLICY. FEDERAL FUNDS FROM PREVIOUS STORMS ARE BEING SPENT ON PREVENTING FUTURE FLOOD DISASTERS. ROADS IN MANY CENTRAL FLORIDA COMMUNITIES GO UNDER WATER EVERY TIME THERE’S A BIG STORM. FIRST WARNING CHIEF METEOROLOGIST TONY MAINOLFI EXPLAINS HOW SEMINOLE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES ARE USING FLOOD BUYBACK PROGRAMS TO ADDRESS THE ISSUE. WE’VE SEEN IT TIME AND TIME AGAIN AS RECENTLY AS MILTON IN 2024, FLOODING DEVASTATION AFTER HURRICANES HIT CENTRAL FLORIDA. WE’RE IN LAKE HARNEY. YOU CAN SEE THE WATER LEVEL ON THIS HOME UP OVER SEVEN FEET. THAT IS CAUSING COUNTIES TO TAKE A NEW APPROACH ON HOW TO MITIGATE FLOODING. IF A HOME CONTINUES TO REPETITIVELY FLOOD OVER AND OVER AND OVER AGAIN. WE WANT TO GET THAT INDIVIDUAL OUT OF HAZARDS. IT’S GOOD FOR THEM. IT’S GOOD FOR THEIR STRESS LEVEL. IT’S GOOD FOR THE INSURANCE. IT’S GOOD FOR ALL OF US. SEMINOLE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER ALAN HARRIS SAYS THE COUNTY USES FEDERAL FUNDS TO BUY FLOOD PRONE PROPERTIES. HE SAYS IT’S JUST NOT WORTH IT TO REPAIR OR REBUILD SOME HOMES LIKE THIS ONE. IT RAISES ALL OF OUR INSURANCE COSTS. WE’VE SEEN INSURANCE COMPANIES LEAVE THE STATE OF FLORIDA. IT’S JUST A GREAT BURDEN. IT’S A GREAT BURDEN. ALSO ON FIRST RESPONDERS HAVING TO RESPOND OUT CONTINUOUSLY, STORM AFTER STORM AFTER STORM. THE BURDEN NOW ON SOME OF THE FAMILIES WHO NEED TO MOVE. HEARTBROKEN. I’M SORRY. NO. IT’S OKAY. WE MOVED FROM MARYLAND TO MOVE HERE, AND WE NEVER THOUGHT THAT WE WOULD HAVE OUR HOME TAKEN FROM US AND HAVE TO MOVE AGAIN. EARLIER THIS YEAR, VOLUSIA COUNTY LEADERS VOTED TO PURCHASE CASSANDRA GELLER’S HOME IN DELAND AND TEAR IT DOWN. SEVERAL HOMES ALONG ORANGE CAMP ROAD WILL LIKELY TURN INTO A RETENTION POND TO HELP MITIGATE FLOODING, AND IT’S A SIMILAR STORY IN DAYTONA BEACH’S MIDTOWN NEIGHBORHOOD. I KNOW PEOPLE WHERE I WAS LIVING AT, YOU KNOW, WHERE HOMES GOT FLOODED OUT. I MT EVERYTHING. WHOLE HOUSE WIPED OUT AND HAD TO START BACK. OVER TWO YEARS AGO, THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS LAUNCHED A STUDY TO FIND WAYS TO REDUCE FLOODING. THIS PAST MAY, THEY DETERMINED THERE IS NO SIMPLE OR AFFORDABLE FIX. DAYTONA BEACH WOULD NEED MAJOR FEDERAL FUNDING, BUT THE PROJECT LIKELY DOESN’T QUALIFY BECAUSE IT ISN’T CONSIDERED AN ECONOMICALLY JUSTIFIED PLAN. ENGINEERS RECOMMENDED THE CITY BUY OUT ROUGHLY 40 OF THE MOST FLOOD PRONE HOMES. BUT IF I SAID THAT I WAS ANYTHING AND I SPEAK FOR THIS CITY, ANYTHING LESS THAN ABSOLUTELY HEARTBROKEN RIGHT NOW, I WOULD BE LYING. IT’S HEARTBREAKING FOR THOSE WHO LIVE THERE FOR AGES, BUT NECESSARY. AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES SAY THEY’RE WILLING TO DO WHATEVER IT TAKES TO KEEP PEOPLE SAFE. THE MITIGATION PROGRAMS OPEN UP A PERIOD OF TIME, SO WE WAIT UNTIL THE NEXT OPEN PERIOD. NOW, AFTER A HURRICANE, THERE ARE FUNDS THAT COME DOWN, DIFFERENT MITIGATION FUNDS. SO THERE’S A LOT OF DIFFERENT MITIGATION FUNDS. THIS IS MY ROAD TONY MAINOLFI WESH TWO NEWS. YOU WANT TO MAKE SURE YOU ARE COVERED BY INSURANCE. IF A HURRICANE DAMAGES YOUR HOME. FIRST WARNING METEOROLOGIST ERIC BURRIS ASKED AN INSURANCE BROKER WHAT HOMEOWNERS OFTEN OVERLOOK WHEN PICKING A POLICY. IT’S THE MOMENT IT ALL MATTERS WHEN A HURRICANE HITS. YOU’VE DONE ALL YOU CAN TO PREPARE YOUR HOME, BUT HOW PROTECTED ARE YOU IF YOUR HOME GETS DAMAGED? COULD YOU REBUILD? DO YOU KNOW WHAT YOU’D HAVE TO PAY? IT’S BROOKE MARIN’S JOB TO MAKE SURE PEOPLE ARE COVERED AND TO KNOW WHAT THEY’RE ON THE HOOK FOR. SHE’S AN INSURANCE BROKER WITH GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE, AND SHE SAID THE MOST COMMON THING PEOPLE STRUGGLE WITH IS THE HURRICANE DEDUCTIBLE. IT’S NOT THE SAME AS YOUR ALL HAZARDS DEDUCTIBLE. SO A HURRICANE DEDUCTIBLE STANDARD IN FLORIDA IS GOING TO BE 2% NOT, YOU KNOW, A THOUSAND OR THE 2500 THAT YOU SEE. THIS IS IMPORTANT BECAUSE SIMPLE MATH SHOWS, LET’S SAY YOUR HOME IS VALUED AT 300,000 JUST FOR INSURANCE TO KICK IN, YOUR DEDUCTIBLE WOULD BE 6000. THAT’S MUCH MORE THAN HOMEOWNERS EXPECT TO BE ON THE HOOK FOR. AND IF YOU HAVE A SCREENED IN POOL, GUESS WHAT? THE ENCLOSURE IS AN ENDORSABLE ITEM, MEANING IF YOU DON’T HAVE IT EXPLICITLY WRITTEN INTO YOUR POLICY, IT MAY NOT BE COVERED. IF IT’S DAMAGED IN A STORM AND THEN THERE’S FLOODING IN A HURRICANE. FLOOD COVERAGE IS A SEPARATE POLICY THAT HAS TO BE PURCHASED. IF YOU’RE NOT IN A FLOOD ZONE, THEY’RE TYPICALLY PRETTY AFFORDABLE. SO THE IMPORTANT THING RIGHT NOW TO KNOW IS, YES, THIS CAN BE CONFUSING. MURIN UNDERSTANDS THAT. SO HEADING INTO HURRICANE SEASON, I ALWAYS RECOMMEND CLIENTS REVIEW YOUR POLICY. IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS, YOU CAN REACH OUT TO YOUR CARRIER OR YOUR INSURANCE BROKER, KIND OF GO THROUGH IT LINE BY LINE. AGAIN, SHE SAYS. DON’T FEEL PRESSURED TO MEMORIZE ALL THE FINE PRINT, BUT IT’S IMPORTANT TO KNOW IN GENERAL WHAT YOUR POLICY COVERS SHOULD THE WORST HAPPEN TO YOU. WELL, ERIC BURRIS WESH TWO NEWS. OUR FIRST WARNING WEATHER TEAM SPENT MONTHS TRACKING WEATHER PATTERNS, NARROWING DOWN HOT SPOTS FOR THE NEXT BIG STORM. THE WESH TWO EXCLUSIVE SEASONAL FORECAST NEXT ON SURVIVING THE SEASON. STORM IMPACTS TO FLORIDA VARY DEPENDING ON WHICH DIRECTION THE HURRICANE HITS COMING IN FROM THE GULF. THE BIGGEST DANGER ALONG THE COAST IS STORM SURGE STORMS COMING IN FROM THE ATLANTIC BRING MORE POWERFUL WINDS AND RAIN. FIRST WARNING METEOROLOGIST MARQUISE MEDA TAKES US TO TWO COASTS WITH TWO DIFFERENT THREATS. WHEN HURRICANES TAKE AIM AT FLORIDA, WHERE THEY HIT MATTERS. THE GULF COAST AND THE ATLANTIC COAST FACE COMPLETELY DIFFERENT THREATS, AND HISTORY SHOWS US WHY. IN THE LAST 25 YEARS, MANY STORMS ON THE ATLANTIC SIDE TURNED INTO FISH STORMS, NEVER TOUCHING LAND. DOCTOR PHIL KLOTZBACH WITH COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY SAYS THE GULF COAST SEES MORE ACTIVITY WHEN IT COMES TO HURRICANES MAKING LANDFALL IN FLORIDA. WE’VE SEEN A LOT OF STORMS HITTING FLORIDA, SAY, IN THE GULF COAST THAT HAVE BEEN RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING UPON APPROACH. I MEAN, OBVIOUSLY A RECENT EXAMPLE THAT WOULD BE HURRICANE HELENE FROM 2024. YOU KNOW, HURRICANE MICHAEL IN 2018, STILL, HURRICANES ON THE ATLANTIC SIDE CAN CAUSE SERIOUS DAMAGE. FRANCES AND JEANNE IN 2004 BROUGHT DAYS OF POUNDING RAIN, STRONG WINDS AND TORNADOES. IN 2022. NICOLE, WHICH WAS A CATEGORY ONE, PROVED A WEAKER STORM CAN PACK A PUNCH. MY FIRST HURRICANE, BUT THIS ONE TOOK ME DOWN. THIS ONE GOT ME. WE SAW SIGNIFICANT WAVE ACTIVITY AND WATER LEVEL RISES ALONG OUR COASTLINE THAT LED TO EXTENSIVE EROSION UP AND DOWN OUR COASTLINE. WILL ULRICH WITH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE, SAYS STORM DURATION, LOCATION AND ANGLE OF APPROACH IMPACTS STORM RISK AND DAMAGE SO CRITICAL TO EVALUATE YOUR RISK FOR EACH OF THOSE HAZARDS. EVERY TIME A TROPICAL SYSTEM HEADS OUR WAY NOW TO THE GULF COAST, WHERE THE BIGGEST THREAT IS THE WATER ITSELF. MATT ANDERSON WITH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA, SAYS GULF SIDE HURRICANES OFTEN RAPIDLY INTENSIFY. THE REASON WE MAY SEE A LITTLE BIT MORE RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS JUST HOW SHALLOW THE WATERS ARE IN THE GULF OFF JUST OFF THE COAST. HERE, YOU CAN GO SEVERAL MILES OFF THE COAST, AND YOU’RE STILL IN LESS THAN 100FT OF WATER. IT’S, YOU KNOW, IT’S VERY SHALLOW COMPARED TO THE OTHER COASTS, HE SAYS. SHALLOW WATERS HEAT UP FASTER, MAKING STORMS MORE POWERFUL. GULF STORMS ALSO DRIVE STORM SURGE INTO COASTAL COMMUNITIES. AS WE’RE STANDING HERE ON BAYSHORE BOULEVARD, WE HAD HURRICANE HELENE, WHICH WAS LIKE 120 MILES OFFSHORE. SO WAY OFFSHORE IT ONLY RAINED AN INCH OR TWO HERE, BUT WE GOT SEVEN FEET OF STORM SURGE IN THE VERY SPOT THAT WE’RE STANDING. SO YOU CAN, YOU KNOW, JUST IMAGINE THE WATER THAT WE’RE LOOKING OUT HERE NOW, RAISING UP ANOTHER SEVEN TO MAYBE EVEN POTENTIALLY EIGHT FEET, JUST HOW MUCH DAMAGE THAT WOULD CAUSE AS IT RAISES UP THAT HIGH AND MOVES INLAND AND THAT IMPACT STRETCHES INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA, EVEN EVEN WITH MILTON AND MADE LANDFALL OVER HERE. BUT IT IMPACTED THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA BECAUSE THEY GOT FLOODING OVER THERE. SO, YOU KNOW, RAINFALL, RAINFALL, RAINFALL. SO NO MATTER WHICH COAST YOU CALL HOME OR HOW ACTIVE THE SEASON IS, IT ONLY TAKES ONE STORM TO MAKE IT A DANGEROUS ONE. SO NOW IS THE TIME TO HAVE A PLAN. MARQUISE MEDA WESH TWO NEWS. EACH YEAR, OUR FIRST WARNING WEATHER TEAM WORKS ON THEIR OWN EXCLUSIVE SEASONAL FORECAST, PREDICTING WHEN THE NEXT BIG STORM MIGHT HIT. WE’RE IN THE WEATHER CENTER WITH METEOROLOGIST ERIC BURRIS, WHO CRUNCHES ALL THAT DATA FOR THE 2026 LONG RANGE FORECAST. ERIC. WHAT ARE YOU SEEING? A LOT OF DIFFERENCES FROM THE LAST FEW YEARS? ALL RIGHT. SO BEFORE WE GET INTO THE NUMBERS, LET’S JUST LOOK AT AREAS. I THINK THE 2026 SEASON WILL FAVOR FOR DEVELOPMENT AND LANDFALL. NOW KEEP IN MIND THIS IS JUST HIGHLIGHTED AREAS THAT I THINK HAVE A SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE RISK FROM ABOUT THE TAMPA SAINT PETE AREA UP THE BIG BEND THROUGH PARTS OF THE PANHANDLE. I’VE WATCHED A LOT OF OUR WEATHER MAKERS KIND OF TAKE THIS PATHWAY AND THEN UP TO THE CAROLINAS. THIS IS ALWAYS AN AREA THAT GETS ABOUT ONE A YEAR. BUT THIS YEAR I THINK IT’S GOING TO BE MORE OF A HOT SPOT. OKAY, SO THOSE TWO ARE THE BIG AREAS THAT I’M WATCHING FOR LANDFALL POTENTIAL. IN TERMS OF THE NUMBERS, AVERAGE NAMED STORMS 147 HURRICANES, THREE MAJORS. I’M FORECASTING A SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE SEASON, 9 TO 13 NAMED STORMS, 4 TO 6 HURRICANES AND 1 TO 3 MAJOR HURRICANES. ERIC. A LOT OF WORK GOES INTO PUTTING TOGETHER A FORECAST THIS FAR IN ADVANCE. CAN YOU GIVE US SOME INSIGHT INTO THE RESEARCH THAT YOU DO? I STARTED IT IN SEPTEMBER OF 2025 AND THAT’S THE WAY IT ALWAYS WORKS. YOU GO THROUGH THE FALL, YOU GO THROUGH WINTER AND SPRING. YOU LOOK AT ALL OF THE BROAD PATTERNS, AND LET’S JUST START WITH THE BIG ONE OVER IN THE PACIFIC, LA NINA FADES AND WE ARE NOW HEADING INTO AN EL NINO YEAR THAT TYPICALLY SUPPRESSES ATLANTIC TROPICAL ACTIVITY. BUT THEN YOU ALSO HAVE TO LOOK AT ANALOGS OR HISTORICALLY SIMILAR PATTERNS. SO OVER THE YEARS, FOR THE LAST ABOUT 150 YEARS, I FOUND ABOUT EIGHT SEASONS THAT LEFT TWO LA NINAS HEADING TOWARD AN EL NINO. AND THESE WERE THE PATHWAYS THAT I FOUND DURING THOSE YEARS. IF YOU LOOK THAT KIND OF FOLLOWS THOSE HOT SPOTS THAT I HIGHLIGHTED, RIGHT? SO THERE’S SOME LOGIC TO THAT. AND THEN OVER THE WINTER INTO SPRING, I FOUND FOUR MAIN PARTS OF THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN. AND LOOK AT WHERE THEY GO, HALF OF THEM IN THE GULF WORKED INTO THE BIG BEND. THE OTHER HALF EITHER RECURVED OUT OF THE CARIBBEAN TO THE ATLANTIC, OR KIND OF SCRAPED UP ACROSS THE CAROLINA COAST. PEOPLE CAN’T LET THEIR GUARD DOWN BECAUSE THEY HEAR BELOW AVERAGE. WE’VE HAD ACTIVE SEASONS BECAUSE IT ONLY TAKES ONE STORM. THINK ABOUT ANDREW. THE FIRST NAMED STORM WAS IN AUGUST. IT ENDED UP BEING A CATEGORY FIVE IN THE MIAMI-DADE COUNTY. CHANGED THE WAY WE BUILD BUILDINGS HERE IN FLORIDA FOREVER. CHARLEY, FRANCES AND JEANNE. THAT WAS DURING AN EL NINO YEAR. SO NO MATTER WHAT THE NUMBER IS, YOU NEED TO BE PREPARED. ONE STORM IMPACTS ONE PERSON. IT’S A BAD YEAR FOR THEM, AND IT’S BETTER TO BE SAFE THAN SORRY. GET PREPARED NOW. THAT’S ALL WE’RE ASKING. ABSOLUTELY. ALL RIGHT. WHATEVER HURRICANE SEASON THROWS AT US, BE PREPARED BY DOWNLOADING THE WESH TWO HURRICANE SURVIVAL GUIDE. INSIDE, YOU’LL FIND ALL THE ADVICE YOU NEED TO GET READY FROM WHAT BELONGS IN A HURRICANE KIT, TO THE EMERGENCY CONTACTS, TO HAVING YOUR PHONE. RIGHT NOW, IT’S ALL ONLINE ON WESH.COM FROM THE ENTIRE WESH TWO NEWS AND FIRST WARNING WEATHER TEAM. LET’S MAKE IT A SAFE HURRICANE SEASON.
Updated: 2:01 PM EDT Jul 18, 2026
Editorial Standards ⓘ
Formation chances increase for Invest 91-L in Gulf; NHC says it could become a tropical depression
Updated: 2:01 PM EDT Jul 18, 2026
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The National Hurricane Center says Invest 91-L has formed just off the Gulf Coast on Saturday morning. Formation chances increased on Saturday afternoon. >> Video above: WESH 2 Hurricane Special: Surviving the Season 2026Central Florida is expected to see heavy rain throughout the weekend as the system sits in the Gulf. The NHC says associated winds remain light, and the showers and thunderstorms are still disorganized. Gradual development of this system is possible, and it could become a tropical depression while it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward during the next few days.Florida’s Gulf Coast, southern Alabama and southwestern Georgia could see the hardest impacts. The NHC says an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Sunday, if needed.Formation chance through 48 hours: 30%Formation chance through 7 days: 40%What is an invest?”Invest” is a shorthand way of saying “area of investigation.” The term is used by the National Hurricane Center when forecasters want to take a closer look at it for the possibility of future development. When a system is named an invest, extra information becomes available, such as spaghetti plots. RESOURCES | HURRICANE SUPPLIES | SURVIVAL GUIDE | HURRICANE SEASON SPECIAL | WESH LONG-RANGE FORECAST | WHAT TO KNOW ABOUT INSURANCE | GENERATOR SETUP | TESTING CHAINSAWS | POST-STORM RESOURCES | DOWNLOAD WESH 2 APP Tracking the TropicsStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Cam Tran and Victoria Wisniewski.>> 2026 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2RESOURCES | HURRICANE SUPPLIES | SURVIVAL GUIDE | HURRICANE SEASON SPECIAL | WESH LONG-RANGE FORECAST | WHAT TO KNOW ABOUT INSURANCE | GENERATOR SETUP | TESTING CHAINSAWS | POST-STORM RESOURCES | DOWNLOAD WESH 2 APP

The National Hurricane Center says Invest 91-L has formed just off the Gulf Coast on Saturday morning. Formation chances increased on Saturday afternoon

>> Video above: WESH 2 Hurricane Special: Surviving the Season 2026

Central Florida is expected to see heavy rain throughout the weekend as the system sits in the Gulf

The NHC says associated winds remain light, and the showers and thunderstorms are still disorganized

Gradual development of this system is possible, and it could become a tropical depression while it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward during the next few days

Florida’s Gulf Coast, southern Alabama and southwestern Georgia could see the hardest impacts

The NHC says an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Sunday, if needed

• Formation chance through 48 hours: 30%
• Formation chance through 7 days: 40%

This content is imported from Twitter.
You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

What is an invest?

“Invest” is a shorthand way of saying “area of investigation.” The term is used by the National Hurricane Center when forecasters want to take a closer look at it for the possibility of future development. When a system is named an invest, extra information becomes available, such as spaghetti plots

RESOURCES| HURRICANE SUPPLIES|SURVIVAL GUIDE|HURRICANE SEASON SPECIAL|WESH LONG-RANGE FORECAST|WHAT TO KNOW ABOUT INSURANCE|GENERATOR SETUP|TESTING CHAINSAWS|POST-STORM RESOURCES|DOWNLOAD WESH 2 APP

Tracking the Tropics

Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast

• Radar
• Severe Weather Alerts

Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts

The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Cam Tran and Victoria Wisniewski

>> 2026 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2

RESOURCES| HURRICANE SUPPLIES|SURVIVAL GUIDE|HURRICANE SEASON SPECIAL|WESH LONG-RANGE FORECAST|WHAT TO KNOW ABOUT INSURANCE|GENERATOR SETUP|TESTING CHAINSAWS|POST-STORM RESOURCES|DOWNLOAD WESH 2 APP

Weather Information

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