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    Home»Conditions»Contributions of traffic to daily PM2.5 exposure and links to cancer mortality
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    Contributions of traffic to daily PM2.5 exposure and links to cancer mortality

    healthylife7By healthylife7August 22, 2026No Comments16 Mins Read
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    Contributions of traffic to daily PM2.5 exposure and links to cancer mortality
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    Abstract

    People with cancer may be susceptible to acute environmental stressors, including ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5), but the contribution of traffic-related particles to short-term cancer mortality remains uncertain. We analysed daily cancer mortality records by cancer site from 2000 to 2019 across eight countries (Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, South Korea, Mexico, New Zealand and Thailand). A time-stratified case-crossover design was used to assess associations with all-source PM2.5 and traffic-sourced PM2.5 (TSPM2.5). The analysis included 9,223,612 cancer deaths. Every 10 μg m−3 increase in the 2-day moving average of all-source PM2.5 exposure (lag 0–1) was associated with a 0.77% increase in all-cancer mortality risk (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.64–0.89%). The corresponding increase in TSPM2.5 was associated with a 3.87% increase (95% CI 3.28–4.47%). Although TSPM2.5 represented only 14.72% of total PM2.5 concentrations, it accounted for 73.55% of PM2.5-attributable cancer deaths during the study period, equivalent to 1.21% (95% CI 1.03–1.39%) of total cancer mortality. Effect modification by age, sex or socioeconomic status was not statistically significant. Reducing TSPM2.5 exposure may help lower acute pollution-related mortality risks among people with cancer.

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    Fig. 1: Spatial distributions of all-source and TSPM2.5.
    Fig. 2: Associations between all-source PM2.5 and cancer mortality.
    Fig. 3: Associations between TSPM2.5 and cancer mortality.
    Fig. 4: Cancer mortality burden attributable to all-source and TSPM2.5.

    Subjects

    • Environmental impact
    • Risk factors

    Data availability

    Publicly available data are found here: the global gridded GDP (https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2018.4) and the Gridded Population of the World (version 4, https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/collection/gpw-v4); surface temperature and ambient dewpoint temperature from ERA5 (https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/datasets/reanalysis-datasets/era5). Data supporting the GEOS-Chem model development and TSPM2.5 simulation in this study can be found from MIX v1.1 Asian anthropogenic emissions (http://meicmodel.org.cn/?page_id=87&lang=en), Multi-resolution Emission Inventory for China (http://meicmodel.org.cn/?page_id=125&lang=en), European Monitoring and Evaluation Program (https://www.emep.int/), Diffuse and Inefficient Combustion Emissions Africa inventory (https://www2.acom.ucar.edu/modeling/dice-africa) and National Emission Inventory of America (https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/national-emissions-inventory-nei). The authors do not have permission to directly share the health outcome data. Interested researchers should contact the corresponding author Y.G. on a case-by-case basis for further information about the restricted health outcome data and the relevant data access procedures. Source data are provided with this paper.

    Code availability

    Analysis codes are available from the corresponding authors on request and shared on https://github.com/Yukieuuuuu/Traffic_PM25_short_term_cancer_mortality

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    Funding

    This study was supported by the Australian Research Council (grant no. DP210102076), the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (grant no. APP2000581) and the National Research Council of Thailand E-Asia Joint Research Program: climate change impact on natural and human systems (grant no. N33A670560). S.L. was supported by an Emerging Leader Fellowship (grant no. GNT2009866) of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council and Y.G. by Leader Fellowship (grant no. GNT2008813) of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council. The funders had no role in data collection, analysis, interpretation, writing of the manuscript or the decision to submit.

    Author information

    Authors and Affiliations

    1. Guangdong Key Laboratory of Environmental Pollution and Health, College of Environment and Climate, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China

      Pei Yu

    2. Climate, Air Quality Research Unit, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

      Pei Yu, Wenzhong Huang, Zhengyu Yang, Michael J. Abramson, Tingting Ye, Wenhua Yu, Yanming Liu, Ke Ju, Yiwen Zhang, Yao Wu, Bo Wen, Yuming Guo & Shanshan Li

    3. Chongqing Emergency Medical Center, Chongqing University Central Hospital, School of Medicine, Chongqing University, Chongqing, China

      Rongbin Xu

    4. School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

      Rongbin Xu

    5. Key Laboratory of Environmental Medicine and Engineering of Ministry of Education, and School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, China

      Wenzhong Huang

    6. Department of Urban Planning and Design, the Social Infrastructure for Equity and Wellbeing (SIEW) Lab, and the Hong Kong Base of the State Key Laboratory of Subtropical Building and Urban Science, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China

      Zhengyu Yang

    7. International Laboratory for Air Quality and Health, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia

      Lidia Morawska

    8. Menzies Institute for Medical Research, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia

      Fay H. Johnston

    9. Sydney School of Public Health, The University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

      Luke Knibbs

    10. Public Health Research Analytics and Methods for Evidence, Public Health Unit, Sydney Local Health District, Camperdown, New South Wales, Australia

      Luke Knibbs

    11. Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

      Guy B. Marks

    12. School of Population and Global Health, The University of Western Australia, Crawley, Western Australia, Australia

      Jane Heyworth

    13. Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea

      Ho Kim

    14. Department of Social and Environmental Medicine, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand

      Kraichat Tantrakarnapa & Wissanupong Kliengchuay

    15. School of Medicine, University of the Andes (Chile), Las Condes, Chile

      Patricia Matus

    16. Department of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand

      Simon Hales

    17. School of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada

      Eric Lavigne

    18. Environmental Health Science and Research Bureau, Health Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada

      Eric Lavigne

    19. Department of Pathology, School of Medicine, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil

      Paulo H. N. Saldiva & Micheline S. Z. S. Coelho

    20. School of Statistics and Data Science, Southeast University, Nanjing, China

      Yanming Liu

    Authors

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    3. Wenzhong HuangView author publications

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    Contributions

    S.L. and Y.G. designed and supervised the study and are cosenior authors. P.Y. conducted the statistical analysis and took the lead in drafting the paper and interpreting the results. P.Y. and R.X. estimated the all-source and TSPM2.5 exposure data. P.Y., R.X., W.H., Z.Y., T.Y., W.Y., Y.L., K.J., Y.Z., Y.W. and B.W. cleaned, processed or analysed the data. L.M., F.H.J., M.J.A., L.K., G.B.M., J.H., H.K., K.T., W.K., P.M., S.H., E.L., P.H.N.S. and M.S.Z.S.C. provided or supported access to the mortality data and contributed to results interpretation. All authors, including P.Y., R.X., W.H., Z.Y., L.M., F.H.J., M.J.A., L.K., G.B.M., J.H., H.K., K.T., W.K., P.M., S.H., E.L., P.H.N.S., M.S.Z.S.C., T.Y., W.Y., Y.L., K.J., Y.Z., Y.W., B.W., Y.G. and S.L., revised and edited the paper and approved the submitted version. The corresponding authors attest that all listed authors meet authorship criteria and that no others meeting the criteria have been omitted.

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    Competing interests

    M.J.A. holds investigator-initiated grants from Pfizer, Boehringer-Ingelheim, GSK and Sanofi for unrelated research. He has undertaken an unrelated consultancy for Sanofi. The other authors declare no competing interests

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    Nature Sustainability thanks Claudia Dalmastri, M. Omar Nawaz, Brian Oliver, Debatosh B. Partha and the other, anonymous, reviewer(s) for their contribution to the peer review of this work

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    Yu, P., Xu, R., Huang, W. et al. Contributions of traffic to daily PM2.5 exposure and links to cancer mortality.
    Nat Sustain (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-026-01925-5

    • Received:22 January 2025

    • Accepted:31 July 2026

    • Published:21 August 2026

    • Version of record:21 August 2026

    • DOI
      :https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-026-01925-5

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    By healthylife7August 22, 20260

    We have spent decades asking what our children need to learn. Perhaps it is time to ask another question: what do they need in order to learn well?

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    Fitness

    Education reform must factor in well

    August 22, 2026

    Contributions of traffic to daily PM2.5 exposure and links to cancer mortality

    August 22, 2026

    Healthcare workers hold rally calling for healthcare funding

    August 22, 2026
    Health

    Opinion: The FDA must put biotech at its center or continue to cede early research to China

    July 6, 2026

    Inside Elevance’s digital chronic disease management strategy

    July 6, 2026

    Best, Worst States For Well

    July 6, 2026
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